Thursday, May 17, 2012

Summer forecast: hot and dry -- with western wildfires

Ed Andrieski / AP

Fire burns through trees in Poudre Canyon northwest of Fort Collins, Colo., on Thursday.

By Miguel Llanos, msnbc.com

Much of the U.S. can expect a summer with temperatures above average and significant wildfire potential, government forecasters warned just as folks in some parts were already feeling the heat: dozens in Colorado fled their homes on Thursday due to a fast-growing fire near Fort Collins, while a historic Arizona mining town remained evacuated as a nearby fire continued to spread. 

"You may see a pretty significant wildfire season developing" across the West, Greg Carbin of the U.S. Storm Prediction Center told reporters. "To see fires to the extent that they are this early isn't a good sign."

"Strong signals" exist especially for the Southwest in terms of a hot summer, added Jon Gottschalck, a forecaster at the U.S. Climate Prediction Center.


The CPC also published a map showing more than two-thirds of the continental U.S. as likely facing a summer with above normal temperatures -- from inland California all the way east to Florida and as far up as the Mid-Atlantic region.

NOAA

The cyclical La Nina weather pattern, while having dissipated last month, left behind dry soils across much of the country, which makes for less moisture in the air and warmer temperatures, the forecasters said.

Dry soils, and winds that kicked in, have helped spread wildfires in Arizona and Colorado this week.

Residents of 65 homes northwest of Fort Collins were forced out Thursday when 50-mph gusts fanned a canyon fire that grew from 1,000 acres to 5,000 acres in a day.

In Fort Collins, some 20 miles from the fire, officials urged the elderly and very young to stay indoors Thursday due to a haze hanging over the city.

Story: Steep terrain makes Colorado fire a tough one

Strong gusts have also fanned a fire in northern Arizona that earlier this week forced 350 residents of Crown King to flee.

Three wildfires in other parts of the state continue to burn as well, but no structures are threatened.

Strong wind gusts are expected Friday as well.

"High-end critical conditions will quickly develop by late morning to early afternoon across the Southwest," the National Weather service said in an alert.

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